NHL-ML-Draft

ML-Draft output for D drafted in 2015. ML-Draft version: 2019.1.0.

Data can be missing if there is a lack of source data, or if certain aspects of the overall dataset are not rich enough to make a prediction.

Projected NHL career data is extrapolated, but based on real to-date statistics. Predicted NHL data is data that was predicted using only pre-draft information.

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Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG Actual Overall Draft
Noah Hanifin (more) 0.396246 0.308032 5
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 24%
  • Star: 9%
Ivan Provorov (more) 0.471175 0.403622 7
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 4%
  • Star: 36%
Zach Werenski (more) 0.585366 0.288712 8
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 10%
  • Star: 35%
Jakub Zboril (more) 0.000000 0.000000 13
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 5%
Thomas Chabot (more) 0.749280 0.000000 18
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 71%
  • Star: 1%
Noah Juulsen (more) 0.226415 0.319427 26
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 37%
  • Star: 6%
Jacob Larsson (more) 0.101124 0.000000 27
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 80%
  • Star: 2%
Gabriel Carlsson (more) 0.147287 0.000000 29
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 92%
  • Star: 2%
Jeremy Roy (more) 0.000000 0.278400 31
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 10%
  • Star: 9%
Travis Dermott (more) 0.270799 0.175980 34
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 42%
  • Star: 13%
Brandon Carlo (more) 0.180587 0.000000 37
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 1%
Nicolas Meloche (more) 0.000000 0.000000 40
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 84%
  • Star: 0%
Brendan Guhle (more) 0.265896 0.000000 51
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 76%
  • Star: 0%
Jeremy Lauzon (more) 0.062500 0.000000 52
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 81%
  • Star: 2%
Rasmus Andersson (more) 0.236842 0.180413 53
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 29%
  • Star: 9%
Vince Dunn (more) 0.436293 0.329017 56
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 45%
  • Star: 21%
Kyle Capobianco (more) 0.000000 0.000000 63
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
Andrew Nielsen (more) 0.000000 0.161715 65
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 41%
  • Star: 0%
Guillaume Brisebois (more) 0.000000 0.000000 66
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 87%
  • Star: 0%
Dennis Gilbert (more) 0.000000 0.000000 90
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 62%
  • Star: 0%
William Borgen (more) 0.000000 0.000000 92
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 79%
  • Star: 1%
Jesper Lindgren (more) 0.000000 0.604022 95
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 3%
  • Star: 94%
Colton White (more) 0.000000 0.000000 97
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
Andrei Mironov (more) 0.000000 0.000000 101
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 0%
Christian Wolanin (more) 0.396429 0.000000 107
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 65%
  • Star: 0%
Alexandre Carrier (more) 0.000000 0.271007 115
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 28%
  • Star: 19%
Caleb Jones (more) 0.352941 0.000000 117
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 75%
  • Star: 1%
Ethan Bear (more) 0.000000 0.000000 124
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 60%
  • Star: 11%
Christian Jaros (more) 0.163339 0.000000 139
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 59%
  • Star: 0%
Vladislav Gavrikov (more) 0.000000 0.168699 159
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 48%
  • Star: 0%
Sergei Boikov (more) 0.000000 0.000000 161
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 78%
  • Star: 0%
Matt Roy (more) 0.240000 0.176862 194
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 49%
  • Star: 0%
Petter Hansson (more) 0.000000 0.546915 202
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 1%
  • Star: 95%
Ziyat Paigin (more) 0.000000 0.000000 209
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 73%
  • Star: 0%
Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG
N. Hanifin (more) 0.396246 0.308032
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 24%
  • Star: 9%
I. Provorov (more) 0.471175 0.403622
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 4%
  • Star: 36%
Z. Werenski (more) 0.585366 0.288712
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 10%
  • Star: 35%
J. Zboril (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 5%
T. Chabot (more) 0.749280 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 71%
  • Star: 1%
N. Juulsen (more) 0.226415 0.319427
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 37%
  • Star: 6%
J. Larsson (more) 0.101124 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 80%
  • Star: 2%
G. Carlsson (more) 0.147287 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 92%
  • Star: 2%
J. Roy (more) 0.000000 0.278400
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 10%
  • Star: 9%
T. Dermott (more) 0.270799 0.175980
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 42%
  • Star: 13%
B. Carlo (more) 0.180587 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 1%
N. Meloche (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 84%
  • Star: 0%
B. Guhle (more) 0.265896 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 76%
  • Star: 0%
J. Lauzon (more) 0.062500 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 81%
  • Star: 2%
R. Andersson (more) 0.236842 0.180413
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 29%
  • Star: 9%
V. Dunn (more) 0.436293 0.329017
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 45%
  • Star: 21%
K. Capobianco (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
A. Nielsen (more) 0.000000 0.161715
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 41%
  • Star: 0%
G. Brisebois (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 87%
  • Star: 0%
D. Gilbert (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 62%
  • Star: 0%
W. Borgen (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 79%
  • Star: 1%
J. Lindgren (more) 0.000000 0.604022
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 3%
  • Star: 94%
C. White (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
A. Mironov (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 0%
C. Wolanin (more) 0.396429 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 65%
  • Star: 0%
A. Carrier (more) 0.000000 0.271007
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 28%
  • Star: 19%
C. Jones (more) 0.352941 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 75%
  • Star: 1%
E. Bear (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 60%
  • Star: 11%
C. Jaros (more) 0.163339 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 59%
  • Star: 0%
V. Gavrikov (more) 0.000000 0.168699
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 48%
  • Star: 0%
S. Boikov (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 78%
  • Star: 0%
M. Roy (more) 0.240000 0.176862
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 49%
  • Star: 0%
P. Hansson (more) 0.000000 0.546915
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 1%
  • Star: 95%
Z. Paigin (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 73%
  • Star: 0%

Correct classifications: 11.0 / 34
Nearly correct classifications: 13.0 / 34
Misses: 10.0 / 34
False Positives: 16.0
False Negatives: 7.0
We could have estimated 20.0 / 34 correctly by guessing all misses.