NHL-ML-Draft

ML-Draft output for D drafted in 2014. ML-Draft version: 2019.1.0.

Data can be missing if there is a lack of source data, or if certain aspects of the overall dataset are not rich enough to make a prediction.

Projected NHL career data is extrapolated, but based on real to-date statistics. Predicted NHL data is data that was predicted using only pre-draft information.

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Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG Actual Overall Draft
Aaron Ekblad (more) 0.463466 0.152784 1
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 50%
  • Star: 8%
Haydn Fleury (more) 0.116906 0.169160 7
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 48%
  • Star: 2%
Julius Honka (more) 0.241206 0.413893 14
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 5%
  • Star: 62%
Travis Sanheim (more) 0.411348 0.000000 17
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 71%
  • Star: 2%
Anthony DeAngelo (more) 0.468694 0.552941 19
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 16%
  • Star: 77%
Marcus Pettersson (more) 0.293948 0.000000 38
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 91%
  • Star: 1%
Josh Jacobs (more) 0.000000 0.000000 41
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 63%
  • Star: 0%
Julius Bergman (more) 0.000000 0.598054 46
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 39%
  • Star: 54%
Roland McKeown (more) 0.000000 0.000000 50
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 5%
Jack Dougherty (more) 0.000000 0.000000 51
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
Brandon Montour (more) 0.416776 0.283306 55
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 0%
  • Star: 16%
Nikita Tryamkin (more) 0.000000 0.180440 66
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 19%
  • Star: 0%
Rinat Valiev (more) 0.000000 0.000000 68
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 0%
Brett Lernout (more) 0.000000 0.000000 73
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 0%
Louis Belpedio (more) 1.600000 0.280955 80
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 34%
  • Star: 32%
Kyle Wood (more) 0.000000 0.175236 84
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 35%
  • Star: 9%
Mark Friedman (more) 0.000000 0.331349 86
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 12%
  • Star: 21%
William Lagesson (more) 0.000000 0.000000 91
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 72%
  • Star: 8%
Nelson Nogier (more) 0.000000 0.000000 101
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 2%
Devon Toews (more) 0.375000 0.136328 108
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 53%
  • Star: 0%
Gustav Forsling (more) 0.288509 0.000000 126
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 87%
  • Star: 3%
Daniel Walcott (more) 0.000000 0.293586 140
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 31%
  • Star: 0%
Anton Lindholm (more) 0.080402 0.000000 144
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 91%
  • Star: 0%
David Westlund (more) 0.000000 0.000000 163
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 78%
  • Star: 0%
John Nyberg (more) 0.000000 0.000000 165
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 93%
  • Star: 0%
Adam Ollas Mattsson (more) 0.000000 0.000000 175
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 85%
  • Star: 0%
Jesper Pettersson (more) 0.000000 0.000000 198
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 90%
  • Star: 0%
Emil Johansson (more) 0.000000 0.000000 206
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 90%
  • Star: 0%
Jacob Middleton (more) 0.333333 0.000000 210
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 1%
Projected NHL PPG Predicted NHL PPG
A. Ekblad (more) 0.463466 0.152784
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 50%
  • Star: 8%
H. Fleury (more) 0.116906 0.169160
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 48%
  • Star: 2%
J. Honka (more) 0.241206 0.413893
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 5%
  • Star: 62%
T. Sanheim (more) 0.411348 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 71%
  • Star: 2%
A. DeAngelo (more) 0.468694 0.552941
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 16%
  • Star: 77%
M. Pettersson (more) 0.293948 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 91%
  • Star: 1%
J. Jacobs (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 63%
  • Star: 0%
J. Bergman (more) 0.000000 0.598054
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 39%
  • Star: 54%
R. McKeown (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 5%
J. Dougherty (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 83%
  • Star: 3%
B. Montour (more) 0.416776 0.283306
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 0%
  • Star: 16%
N. Tryamkin (more) 0.000000 0.180440
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 19%
  • Star: 0%
R. Valiev (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 0%
B. Lernout (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 57%
  • Star: 0%
L. Belpedio (more) 1.600000 0.280955
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 34%
  • Star: 32%
K. Wood (more) 0.000000 0.175236
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 35%
  • Star: 9%
M. Friedman (more) 0.000000 0.331349
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 12%
  • Star: 21%
W. Lagesson (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 72%
  • Star: 8%
N. Nogier (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 2%
D. Toews (more) 0.375000 0.136328
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 53%
  • Star: 0%
G. Forsling (more) 0.288509 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 87%
  • Star: 3%
D. Walcott (more) 0.000000 0.293586
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 31%
  • Star: 0%
A. Lindholm (more) 0.080402 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 91%
  • Star: 0%
D. Westlund (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 78%
  • Star: 0%
J. Nyberg (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 93%
  • Star: 0%
A. Ollas (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 85%
  • Star: 0%
J. Pettersson (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 90%
  • Star: 0%
E. Johansson (more) 0.000000 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 90%
  • Star: 0%
J. Middleton (more) 0.333333 0.000000
Similar players:Similar superstar:Probabilities:
  • Miss: 64%
  • Star: 1%

Correct classifications: 14.0 / 29
Nearly correct classifications: 4.0 / 29
Misses: 11.0 / 29
False Positives: 9.0
False Negatives: 6.0
We could have estimated 17.0 / 29 correctly by guessing all misses.